NFL Playoff games tend to be lower scoring affairs than their regular season counterparts. However, this week’s four divisional-round games each have a higher-than-average total. So, what’s going on? Four playoff games will take place this weekend — two on Saturday (Minnesota at San Francisco, Tennessee at Baltimore) and two […]
NFL Playoffs: Which Underdog is Most Likely to Pull Off an Upset?
The gambling public loves betting on favorites. That’s amplified even more so in playoff games. For this week’s divisional round matchups, point spreads range from -4 all the way up to -10. Which of the four games looks to offer dog bettors the best chance for a possible outright upset? […]
Gone But Never Forgotten: Remembering Poker Friends, Family Lost in 2019 (A Video Tribute)
2019 was a year of loss and sadness in the poker world. Many of our friends and family are no longer with us. However, let us take one final opportunity not to mourn their passing, but to celebrate their lives. Note to Readers: Allow me to share something very personal […]
2019 NFL Season Win Totals Recap: Who Got There and Who Didn’t?
Remember when the NFL season win totals were released last summer? So many teams and wagers looked tempting. A few even looked easy. With the regular season now complete, it’s time to go back and look at which teams were the biggest surprises and disappointments of 2019, and to see […]
Top Photos of 2019: The Year in Sports
The end of the year offers us the ideal time for reflection. CBS News just released its Top Photos of 2019: The Year in Pictures. Of the 53 photos selected, nearly a dozen relate to sports. Accordingly, this seems like the perfect occasion to ponder and marvel at these 11 […]
Does Anyone Except Gamblers Give a ####! About These Garbage College Bowl Games? (Op-Ed)
As college football belches out yet another meaningless bowl spectacle, and the garbage pile bloats from a molehill into a mountain, interest in these games continues to plummet. Television ratings are in a steady decline. Games between mediocre teams take place in half-empty stadiums. Hardly anyone seems to care. Once […]
How to Handicap the Final Week of the NFL Regular Season
Pittsburgh is favored over Baltimore? Tennessee is laying nearly a touchdown at Houston? Chicago is favored by a field goal in Minnesota? Week 17 looks to be a crazy slate of NFL games. Here’s a guide to taking advantage of unusual circumstances and avoiding traps. The final week of the […]
Key Trends for Handicappers in NFL Week 17 Matchups
Trends can be a helpful starting point when handicapping NFL games. In fact, some trends should carry added weight this time of year, because late-December matchups carry nearly a full season’s worth of data. Here’s a look at some noteworthy trends for NFL Week #17. Let’s take a look at […]
NFL Week 17: Totals Trends Suggest Four Possible Under Wagers
The NFL may be a pass-happy league, but betting on unders is clearly the way to go in late-season games. Both recent and long-term trends suggest that bettors haven’t yet caught on to the value of unders when wagering on totals, especially in the final week. This Sunday, four games […]
32 for 32: All 32 Teams Analyzed in 32 Words or Less (Part 2 — The AFC)
Heading into the final week of the 2019 regular season, here’s the remainder of our all-too-short, short take on all 32 NFL teams from a gambler’s perspective. In today’s Part 2, we take a look at the 16 teams in the AFC. With one week remaining in the NFL regular […]
32 for 32: All 32 Teams Analyzed in 32 Words or Less (Part 1 — The NFC)
Heading into the final week of the 2019 regular season, here’s an all-too-short take on all 32 NFL teams from a gambler’s perspective. In today’s Part 1, we take a look at the 16 teams in the NFC. There’s still one more week left to play in the NFL regular […]
Key Trends in Sports Betting: Monday, December 23, 2019
Here’s a look at some powerful betting trends for today’s — and tonight’s — games in college football, college basketball, the NHL, NBA, and NFL. The most significant trend for each sport is listed below. Check them out. Which teams are hot and which are not? Here’s a quick-and-easy guide […]
Key Trends for Handicappers in NFL Week 16 Matchups
Trends can be a helpful starting point when handicapping NFL games. In fact, some trends should carry added weight this time of year because late-season matchups include significantly more regular-season data worth considering. Here’s a look at some trends worth looking at for NFL Week #16. Trends are very often […]
Betting NFL Totals: Winning Angle Revealed in Some Late-Season Unders
All sports bets are not created equal. Inside the unpredictable Animal Farm of wagering on overs and unders, some NFL totals “are more equal than others.” Betting on NFL sides makes up the vast majority of football wagers. Betting on NFL totals, however, is frequently where you can find more […]
Mastering the Fine Art of Middling an NFL Point Spread
December is the best month to create “middles” when betting NFL games. This article explains why the final four weeks of the regular season presents ideal opportunities for wagers that, essentially, “can’t lose.” Last week, the Chicago Bears opened as -2.5 favorites versus the Detroit Lions. By kickoff, the line […]
Data Mining Week 13 NFL Games for Winning Betting Angles
We’re doing the dirty work of crunching through data, and deep into the 2019 NFL season, we’ve found two betting angles that continue to produce a profit. Will our good fortune continue? Last week, we data-mined two betting angles that produced a profit. This week, we see no reason to […]
NBA Data Mining: What the Numbers Say about Betting on Black Friday
Data mining is precisely what it seems to be — lots of digging, sifting through vast quantities of worthless rubble, and only on occasion finding buried treasure. Unfortunately, for every discovery that’s potentially profitable, there are dozens and sometimes hundreds of disappointments and dead ends. Nonetheless, all new knowledge is […]
Thanksgiving Day Football in Dallas Provides Bounty of Warm Memories
Thanksgiving is as much about football and gambling as it is about turkey and dressing. Family dinners are now scheduled around game time. If you grew up in Dallas (or Detroit), football on Thanksgiving Thursday was a rite of passage and way of life — one in which Thanksgiving dinner […]
Why NFL Teams Favored by 10-14 Points are Historically Strong Bets
Handicapping the NFL isn’t easy, but starting out with a betting advantage might be as simple as hunting for games within a specific point-spread range. This article explains what to look for, and what the data says about finding a point-spread sweet spot. The sports betting market generally gets things […]
Data: Previous Week Rushing Stats a Key NFL Betting Predictor
The NFL has become a passing league. Virtually all pro football teams now throw the ball more than ever before. This doesn’t mean we should disregard rushing data, however. In fact, recent rushing statistics can have significant predictive value in picking point-spread winners. Consider just one stat, which measures the […]